LEAP/E2020 has never seen the chronological convergence of such a series of explosive and so fundamental factors (economy, finances, geopolitical?) since 2006, the start of its work on the global systemic crisis. Logically, in our modest attempt to regularly publish a ?crisis weather forecast?, we must therefore give our readers a ?Red Alert? ? (page 2)
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Three economic-financial shocks at the heart of the historic September/October 2012 shock
Amongst the thirteen factors which converge around the September/October period 2012 for the ?endgame? of the world before the crisis, LEAP/E2020 has particularly chosen to expand its anticipations concerning three of them whose importance will structure the impact of the shock in world economic, monetary and financial spheres?
(page 6)
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A chronological convergence of four major geopolitical crises in September/October 2012
As we analyze in this issue, LEAP/E2020 clearly discerns the worsening factors and the risk of explosion of these four sources of major tension involving strategic international and regional players at the same time; whilst noting the disappearance or rapid weakening of all the braking or appeasing factors? (page 12)
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Strategic and operational recommendations
. Currencies: Repositioning necessary
. Gold: Stay on course
. Stock Exchanges: Last reminder before chaos
. Banks: Major Danger (page 19)
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June 2012 GEAB $ Index - Unprecedented since 2006: the US$ is rising against the ?, ?, ? and R$ basket
This index, measuring GDP in US Dollars, makes it possible for example to evaluate the US economy?s very significant decline compared to the world economy?s main players. And for investments in that currency, it gives a valid indication of the effective loss in value of US Dollar denominated assets since 2006? (page 21)
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The GlobalEurometre - Results & Analyses
One now notes that nearly all respondents consider that common European solutions to the crisis are more effective than national ones (96% this month versus 91% last month). In the coming months this factor will probably weigh heavily on the debate over increased Euroland integration? (page 22)
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Special announcement - The Political Anticipation Method?: 10 week online training course
LEAP/E2020 is re-launching its political anticipation? training courses! Henceforth these will be completely online and in three languages (German, English and French) to begin with (Spanish will be added to the list shortly thereafter)? (page 24)
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Source: http://www.leap2020.eu/notes/Another-U-S-Credit-Rating-Downgrade-Is-Likely-Prechter_b4468826.html
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